• Burnt CAFE

    It’s a rare treat to read a dry, technical report and—almost by accident—learn something surprising, counterintuitive, useful and (at least to me) genuinely new.  Which is exactly what happened when I read this paper (beware, pdf) by Todd Litman at the Victoria Transportation Policy Institute.  The upshot:  raising vehicle fuel-economy standards, which always seemed to me like a good idea, may actually be counterproductive, even if they’re truly successful at...
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  • Tolls for Thee

    Via Planetizen News, evidence that the impossible is finally catching on:  according to Governing magazine, more and more jurisdictions in the US and Europe are making drivers pay to use roads when they’re congested.  And remarkably, the politicians responsible for instituting the tolls don’t seem to be paying much of a political price. London’s experiment is perhaps the most famous:  the city now charges drivers about $10 to drive into...
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  • Traffic Jam

    I’ve been putting off commenting on Washington State’s recently-passed $8 billion transportationpackage—funded by a 9.5 cent per gallon increase and new weight-based vehicle fees—until I could figure out exactly how I feel about it. I still can’t. It’s complicated. In general, I like taxes on gasoline.  Gasoline carries many costs—security, air and water pollution, climate-warming emissions, and the like—that aren’t captured by the market price.  Which means that, no matter...
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  • The Since-1970 Show

    In 1970, year of the first Earth Day, lead was still a gasoline additive. Pollution from industrial and municipal facilities was largely unregulated. Commentators likened breathing in Portland to smoking a pack a day. Most environmental laws hadn’t even been conceived. How is the Northwest doing now? Obviously, we’ve cleaned up some—but we also face newer, more global challenges, such as the rising accumulation of greenhouse gases and newly troubling...
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  • Am I Dense?

    I’m no economist, so I have a hard time evaluating arguments that rely on statements like: Which means that I have no idea if this paper (beware, pdf) by some Harvard economists is really top-notch scholarship.  But it makes the case that one of the chief reasons for rapid housing inflation between 1960 and 2000 was that, in high-priced places, local governments have been increasingly unwilling to issue housing permits—the...
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  • Forecasts: Cloudy

    Via Planetizen, some depressing news:  an international study has found that transportation planners regularly get their traffic and rail ridership forecasts wrong.  And not just by a little.  Half of all road traffic forecasts are wrong by at least 20 percent (though road projects tend to get a little more traffic than forecasted).  Rail ridership, on the other hand, is typically less than half (ouch!!) of what the planners forecast. ...
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  • Death by Traffic

    What do the United States, Poland, Portugal, and Greece have in common?  Lots of deaths from automobile accidents.  The US ranked 27th out of 30 OECD nations in traffic deaths per capita in 2002—with 30th place (Greece) having the most deaths, and 1st (Turkey) having the fewest.   By contrast, Canada ranked 12th. Now, it’s not that the US has particularly bad drivers, or that our cars are particularly unsafe.  Mile...
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  • Bus Rapid Transit

    In the great Seattle transit wars (light rail—monorail—buses), I have no ideological attachment to any particular technology. I’m interested in real quantitative analysis of long-term benefits per dollar spent. So, in today’s two long articles on Sound Transit in the Seattle Post-Intelligencer and the Seattle Times, the nugget that stood out to me as important was this one, from the PI: "A study by Sound Transit staff showed that rail...
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  • Article of the Day

    Mother Jones has a revealing two-page graphic on the upsizing of the American Dream. (The link takes you to a text overview and offers downloads of two jumbo pdfs of the magazine spread.) It caught my eye in the print edition and the good folks at MoJo have now posted it on their website. It’s packed with fascinating tidbits. The crux: The American Dream just keeps growing. Since 1970 the...
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  • The Cost of Growth Management?

    Home prices are still booming, at least in Puget Sound: they jumped 13 percent in the region last year, at least 4 times as fast as inflation. A Seattle Timesarticle reporting on the trend explains it using Economics 101 logic: many buyers and few sellers. Makes sense. Scarce supply plus high demand usually brings about rising prices. But then the article hints at a common explanation for restricted supply (and...
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